arXiv cs.CL
· Papers
Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models
arXiv:2607.09921v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a language-model forecasting system for merger arbitrage, a specialized high-stakes financial setting in which the task is to predict the outcome of announced M&A deals. Unlike prior work on judgmental forecasting with LLMs, which has focused on broad mixed-to