LessWrong AI
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You need to stop X companies to get a Y-month pause
Some thoughts on how many AI companies would pause vs how long a pause could last before their closest competitor catches up. I used ECI (Epoch Capability Index) as a measure of capabilities. The method is like this:1) Find company X's best model (highest ECI), let's call it's ECI score x.2) Build OpenAI's frontier cur