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arXiv stat.ML · Papers

The Decision Geometry of Covariance Estimation for the Global Minimum-Variance Portfolio under Heavy Tails

arXiv:2606.27462v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The global minimum-variance portfolio (GMVP) is the canonical decision built from an estimated covariance matrix, yet covariance estimators are universally evaluated by matrix-norm loss, which is not the object the decision depends on. We characterise exactly how covarian