arXiv cs.LG July 3, 2026 · Papers

Prediction Sets for Counterfactual Decisions: Coverage, Optimality, and Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607.02206v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predictions are increasingly used to guide high-stakes decisions, from treatment selection to policy making. To ensure reliability with imperfect predictions, uncertainty quantification methods such as conformal prediction build prediction sets with coverage guarantees.