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The big (possibly wrong) argument against this is that China is still behind in tons of fields despite, frankly, having just obscenely more smart peop…

The big (possibly wrong) argument against this is that China is still behind in tons of fields despite, frankly, having just obscenely more smart people in them, to the point you can think of it as ≈2 years of a gap in AGI. How many IQ-point-years do you think went into ASML's EUV? Likely LESS than what they're throwin