arXiv cs.AI
· Papers
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents
arXiv:2607.03015v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting future events has attracted growing attention as a testbed for general-purpose AI. A natural way to ground this evaluation is let the models trade in the prediction markets. Trading, however, requires more than forecasting. Moreover, recent benchmarks report a