LessWrong AI
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How much slower does takeoff go with 10× less compute?
About 6x slower in the median case, with an 80% confidence interval of 3.5x to 8x. SetupDefine the "R&D compute" (in, say, H100-equivalents) of an AGI company at a given time to be the total compute in use across the following categories:Compute used to run experiments, which are used to search for software improvement