Ranges of Probabilities: What Are They For?
Consider the following dialogue, between two forecasters aiming to predict the next presidential election:Forecaster Alice: I believe that candidate X will win the election, with probability…
Consider the following dialogue, between two forecasters aiming to predict the next presidential election:Forecaster Alice: I believe that candidate X will win the election, with probability…
A summary of our ICML 2026 paper, Architecture Matters for Multi-Agent Security (Hagag, Anderson, Schroeder de Witt, Scheffler). The scenarios and experiments were built on Orbit,…
Imagine an astronomer who discovers an asteroid with a 50% chance of hitting Earth in 2035. She goes on TV. She testifies before Congress. She founds…
RT Latent.Spacetldr of thariq's AIEWF keynotehttps://latent.space/p/ainews-the-field-guide-to-fable(more in today's ainews issue)Thariq: my keynote at AI Engineer World Fair: “A Field Guide to Fable” is live on YouTube!https://youtu.be/9fubhllmsBU?is=ejZTRy8t85FIbSGQ
a quiet day lets us digest the world's most significant model launch... to date.
RT Kashyap KompellaWe talk about optimizing AI for latency, throughput and cost.it’s time to add a fourth metric:🌍 Environmental efficiency.Curious how researchers like @ylecun, @JeffDean and…
This work was largely done during Neel Nanda's MATS 10.0 Exploration Phase. J Rosser and Dohun Lee are co-first authors for this post with equal contribution.…
(parts 2 and 3 to follow)Summary of this postThis post is on the results of a mechanistic interpretability project aimed at understanding the internals of Maia…
OpenAI added two Realtime models to its API. GPT-Realtime-2.1-mini is a mini reasoning model for voice, priced like the earlier gpt-realtime-mini. OpenAI also cut p95 latency…
RT AhmadThat’s a wrap on AIE from their new HQ!Honored to have been a guest panelist for Nvidia’s Local Al State of the Union, and to…
AI obsessions, continued: the act of naming something, whether something is "earned," what "carries" something else, strained metaphors, sitting with something (often an idea), an inanimate…
Thank you @ModelScope2022ModelScope: Meet Hy3 on ModelScope! 295B total / 21B active MoE, built for agentic workflows with 256K context and an FP8 variant ready for…
imo this is the most impt part of anthropic's J-space paper today. it's a two-parter:1) ant proved that they can do "brain surgery" interventions into reasoning…
Thanks to @vllm_project for supporting Hy3! Let's play with it.vLLM: Spin it up now! 🚀
Recent advances in multimodal foundation models and agent systems have driven GUI agents from single-platform task execution toward cross-platform interaction. However, building multi-platform GUI agents remains…
Dense spatial perception is essential for physical intelligence, where visual systems are expected to recover structured, metric, and actionable representations from pixel observations. Modern visual foundation…
arXiv:2502.05684v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: How can we effectively remove or ``unlearn'' undesirable information, such as specific features or the influence of individual data points, from…
arXiv:2607.04647v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scalable Bayesian inference for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) provides uncertainty-aware analysis of correlated longitudinal data, but existing scalable approaches largely…
arXiv:2607.04527v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Biological systems exhibit a hierarchical structure, characterised by directed flow from upstream regulators to downstream effects. Although this ordering provides a…
arXiv:2607.04442v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Diffusion models (DMs) are a state-of-the-art generative method to approximately sample from an unknown distribution. Their training and evaluation primarily rely…
arXiv:2510.22298v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncovering the causal mechanisms of complex real-world systems remains a significant challenge, as these systems often entail high data collection costs…
arXiv:2410.13800v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Physically motivated stochastic dynamics are widely used to sample from high-dimensional distributions. However, such samplers often get trapped in metastable states,…
arXiv:2607.04360v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conditional generative models have emerged as powerful tools for sampling from target conditional distributions, driving substantial advances across a wide range…
arXiv:2303.08777v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Cross-validation is one of the most widely used tools for risk estimation and model selection in statistics and machine learning, yet…