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Reevaluating AI-2027: timelines, takeoff, alignment and China
AI-2027-TLDRThe AI-2027 scenario relies on exponential growth of compute available to leading labs, on superexponential progress in time horizons until the Superhuman Coder is developed and on skyrocketing research taste in post-SC AIs. During the intelligence explosion, alignment suffers: Agent-2 was believed to be mo