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Reinforcement Learning on Forecasting Will Give Us a Superhuman Forecaster

This is a crosspost of a post from my blog, Metal Ivy. The original is here: Reinforcement Learning on Forecasting Will Give Us a Superhuman Forecaster.Why RL on forecasting?When DeepSeek R1 came out in January 2025, I felt that the fact that RL on LLMs simply worked was incredible, but using it on coding and math wasn