X · @teortaxesTex
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reminder that my method for forecasting is literally just greedy decoding
reminder that my method for forecasting is literally just greedy decodingTeortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞): 83% would be very very good. my ranges are 0.7-0.75 (low) to 0.75-0.835 (max).Specific targets, correcting for my pessimism:0.735 (low), 0.788 (high), 0.825 (max)I am very uncertain though