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RT Ryan Greenblatt: My median for full automation of AI R&D is around late 2030/early 2031. But my "modal"/best guess prediction for this milestone wo…
RT Ryan GreenblattMy median for full automation of AI R&D is around late 2030/early 2031. But my "modal"/best guess prediction for this milestone would be significantly earlier (mid 2029).Here is a summary of my best guess prediction for what happens over the next few years:EOY 2026:- ~1.5x as much frontier AI progress