The Next Ecology
When I started writing about AI, my concern was ASI. I'm still concerned about AI, but recent events have made me realize we're potentially facing something…
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Redux: (∃ Stochastic Natural Latent) Implies (∃ Deterministic Natural Latent)
Once upon a time, John Wentworth and I thought we had a proof of a very useful looking theorem. We did not have that proof. An…
Models inherit the writer, not who the writer was imitating
In this post, we find that when teacher models are prompted to imitate one another, students learn the imitated model's detectable writing signature but their direct…
On using crises to shift political will for AI
TL;DR: We’ll probably be getting more AI safety incidents, so amplify the ones that would justify or highlight the urgency of your preferred policy solutions even…
Probing Knowledge Recovery in Unlearned Models
TL;DRMachine unlearning is a proposed technique for removing harmful knowledge from AI models. However, recent work has shown that most current unlearning methods are not robust…
Canadian Nuclear Emancipation: Canada's role amidst global dreams of energy security and nuclear development
“Diversification internationally," Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney remarks, “is not just economic prudence — it is the material foundation for honest foreign policy.” Carney’s address to…
What Claude Saw Below
A few days ago, I came across a Reddit thread about anomalous responses produced by Anthropic’s newly released model, Claude Opus 5. The trick, apparently, was…
Before We Defer Research to AI: Measuring Apparent-Success-Seeking
Recently, I was improving a small LLM-powered classifier and noticed a few continuously failing test cases. As many would, I asked my AI code assistant to…
Revived Lightweight Transit Predictions Page
In 2015 I made a little webapp that would use the NextBus API to show predictions for the MBTA: A few years later they moved from…
A Topic Detector, Not a Lie Detector: what J-space monitoring actually tracks
This is a pilot experiment, done on one model, with around $14 worth of compute, and a single seed per condition. The full writeup with all…