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arXiv stat.ML · Papers

Transit Destination Inference from Tap-In-Only Bus Smart-Card Data: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach

arXiv:2608.11223v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Entry-only automatic fare collection systems record boardings but not alightings, preventing direct construction of origin-destination (OD) matrices. This study develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Latent-Destination (HBLD) model that combines station-hour boarding and infe