Arguments for P
Daniel Kokotajlo: To be clear, we don’t claim P will happen specifically. But when we wrote out our best-guess scenario month by month, P kept happening.…
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Generalized atheism rules out "inaccurate simulation"-ism.
(Reposted from Facebook, on January 17, 2017.) I am concerned about the number of people I've heard joking about Trump's election being evidence for the Simulation…
Berkeley Genomics Project seeking hires (and collabs)
The Berkeley Genomics Project is hiring. If you're hard-working, reliable, ready to learn, and highly motivated to help build the emerging sector of reprogenetics, consider applying…
Charles Goodhart Elementary School
I heard a story (second- or third-hand, which surely lost or gained some details on the telephone path from reality to this telling if it even…
The Three AI Pills
Sincere disagreements about AI are usually disagreements about future AI capabilities. There are roughly four positions people take. Two are reasonable. Two are not. I distinguish…
Notes on the possibility of moral progress
To achieve the best possible future, we must know what that future looks like. In other words, we need to solve ethics.[1]The problem of solving ethics…
Regranting in 2026: now more than ever
Mostly written by Carol, edits by Austin.Manifund is raising money for our 2026 AI safety regranting program!TL;DREarly grants can have huge returns.Dispersed part-time grantmakers can find…
Randomness and Doomsday for Weak agents
Most things that we model as random, are in fact deterministic. The outcome of a dice roll is determined by the initial momentum and angular momentum…
Vertical Tabs in Chrome
When you have a lot of browser tabs open it can be very hard to tell them apart, especially if they're from the same site: Since…
The goalposts are shrouded, not moving
Alice: Are there any examples of X? Bob: Here. Alice: Okay, but are there any examples of X'? Bob: Yes, here. Alice: That has feature Y,…