Gelatinizing Starch in an Emergency
I've been thinking more about disaster preparedness recently, and an important piece of that is food. And for many foods, before you can eat them you…
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AI #174: You’re It
Fable remains in limbo, with renewed hope that we will get it back soon (45% by tomorrow, 69% by July 1, nice.) The full capabilities post…
Interstellar conquests: hard race, hide-and-seek and robust protection
Gwern's case against the AI race relied on the lack of a pivotal act which the side which is to reach the ASI first can use…
Optimal Exercise Calculator
TL;DR. Exercise buys you roughly 3.5 extra years of life - probably the largest reliable gain in longevity available to you right now. But the benefits…
What do people interpret from fatness?
Being fat seems to be interpreted—at least in some society—as a sign of inferior personal virtue: being lazy, greedy, lacking self control. It is also read,…
Alignment & Succession: The Ideology of Successionism
(Originally published on No Set Gauge.)Gustave Moreau, The Frogs Asking For A KingIn the course of building a better world, people ask each other many questions.…
Introspection or entropy? Re-examining concept-injection “introspection” in open models
Thanks to Joshua Joseph, Dillon Plunkett, and Julian Huang for their feedback and for helping me refine these ideas.Anthropic recently reported that language models can “introspect.”…
How To Kill Moloch
Draft that was too funny not to post. I have more opinions on decision theory, Evolution and Moloch in particular now, but will write about them…
Superintelligence Challenges & Existential Risks
I have written a paper about artificial superintelligence (ASI) challenges and existential risks. The full paper is accessible at Zenodo (link: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20779325). In the paper, I…
Age experience
When I see an angry person, or a Taylor Swift fan, or a fifty year old, I tend to assume that they are thoroughly experienced and…