In partial defence of p(doom)
p(doom) is a shorthand for some important bits and a way to notice a disagreement to double-crux about.If you work on AI capabilities at a frontier…
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Interpersonalized recommendations
I just got back from a few days of workshop and backpacking but am not in much of a mind to talk about it, so I…
How should you slow down AI progress if it becomes necessary?
Summary and IntroductionHow should the world slow down AI progress if it ever decides it needs to? If you ever see substantial evidence of catastrophic risk…
Should authors or readers fill the gaps in mathematical arguments?
Starting Point:We want to pass on understanding of some material. All people involved should have to spend as little time as possible overall.Everyone can be a…
Separation of Knowledge and Reasoning?
Apologies if this post is totally off kilter, this is my first time posting here and I'm still working everything out.Are there any AI research examples…
More Failed Eggless Choux
Choux pastry (the kind used in eclairs and creampuffs) is very picky, and depends heavily on the chemical properties of eggs. Five years ago I played…
The Slogan Strikes Again
One of the slogans heard quite frequently in Information Theory educated circles is: Compression is Intelligence. You aren't supposed to take this too literally. The point…
Role confusion: sounding like the cause is indistinguishable from being it.
A replication of Prompt Injection as Role Confusion (2026) and why the mechanistic story of prompt injection is harder to pin down than it looks.Epistemic status:…
Could AI Outgrow Consciousness?
TL;DR: Conditional on believing in illusionist theories of consciousness, it seems plausible that AI systems will be conscious above some threshold of complexity but surpass a…
Destroying the universe: How hard can it be?
In quantum field theory, the vacuum state refers to the lowest energy state in a system. Particles are excitations above this state and carry energy, hence…